Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.888373 5.288029 5.721108 6.228159 6.809283 7.459062 8.247081
2025-06-22 4.124675 4.646429 5.250258 6.011203 6.960182 8.126987 9.707613
2025-06-29 3.676146 4.249021 4.940873 5.857235 7.070678 8.672955 11.045592
2025-07-06 3.365489 3.964360 4.711022 5.738659 7.166247 9.166899 12.371747
2025-07-13 3.155773 3.777417 4.573913 5.707679 7.352467 9.790076 14.010871
2025-07-20 3.035616 3.690199 4.551501 5.819376 7.742369 10.767244 16.484211
2025-07-27 2.944178 3.630092 4.555117 5.960760 8.187069 11.906795 19.630595
2025-08-03 2.824510 3.520927 4.478345 5.970487 8.418872 12.723921 22.450467
2025-08-10 2.687931 3.378427 4.341638 5.872312 8.454642 13.186633 24.673976
2025-08-17 2.545382 3.218896 4.168685 5.700351 8.339933 13.336115 26.199331
2025-08-24 2.437637 3.102748 4.051631 5.606255 8.348498 13.730477 28.569468
2025-08-31 2.382111 3.058063 4.037295 5.675955 8.659432 14.819169 33.611206
2025-09-07 2.330683 3.019811 4.034931 5.773873 9.055281 16.243959 41.156982
2025-09-14 2.209858 2.874074 3.859217 5.563262 8.827675 16.165066 43.128727
2025-09-21 2.114963 2.762695 3.731063 5.425223 8.729107 16.388350 46.686675
2025-09-28 2.034767 2.669647 3.626455 5.319847 8.683422 16.738327 51.301946
2025-10-05 1.977099 2.608000 3.568261 5.292317 8.796797 17.547402 59.523938
2025-10-12 1.949458 2.590573 3.579738 5.391486 9.196624 19.297155 77.250355
2025-10-19 1.928343 2.581911 3.604497 5.516833 9.675598 21.489977 106.505368
2025-10-26 1.886502 2.538970 3.569716 5.525449 9.885064 22.905121 136.319762
2025-11-02 1.829931 2.470669 3.488921 5.438441 9.852421 23.468080 159.538662
2025-11-09 1.764849 2.386806 3.378329 5.285805 9.640821 23.313406 171.382032
2025-11-16 1.715198 2.325969 3.304644 5.202156 9.594136 23.792830 201.294148